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THE FOOTBALL NOTEBOOK

Learn the model.
Question
the score.

Build a football win-probability model, then learn how to tell whether it actually works.

Work through Elo ratings, team features and honest validation in a runnable Python notebook. Catch the data leak that makes a bad model look brilliant.

Runs in Google ColabWorked solutionsPublished updates

INCLUDED WITH SPORTS PASS

—/ year

Football notebook + worked solutions. Every sports notebook and the full Axon ML course.

Enter your email and payment details at checkout. Download your notebook as soon as payment is confirmed. No account needed.

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FROM FIRST FEATURE TO FAIR TEST

Inside the notebook.

A guided project you can run, change, and return to. Some Python familiarity helps.

  1. 01

    Build the football model

    Turn game history into Elo ratings, rolling features, and win probabilities.

  2. 02

    Catch the hidden shortcut

    See how future information can leak into training and inflate your results.

  3. 03

    Test it honestly

    Validate across seasons, compare with baselines, and check what your probabilities mean.

  4. 04

    Make it your own

    Try the exercises, inspect the worked solutions, and experiment with the code.

A PAGE TO COME BACK TO

The notebook can change.
Your link stays the same.

When a new version is published, you’ll find it on your notebook page with a note explaining what changed. Download the latest copy whenever you need it, while your paid access is active.

See the notebook page

Before you start.

What am I buying?

An annual Sports Pass that includes this football teaching notebook and its worked solutions, the other sports notebooks, and the full Axon ML course. The provider shows the current price before payment.

Is this a weekly predictions service?

This is a teaching notebook. You use historical football data to learn how to build and evaluate a model. It does not include a weekly picks feed.

Do I need an account before buying?

No. Purchase as a guest and download the notebook as soon as payment is confirmed. You can add it to an Axon account later if you want.

How do updates work?

Return to your notebook page for the latest published version and release notes. Updates are included while your paid access is active. Files you already downloaded won’t change automatically.